My Oscar Picks

Didn’t the last 33 days just fly by!?! I’ve seen as many of the Oscar nominated films as I could since they were announced and I have some clear favorites and picks for winners of the big awards tonight. They don’t always sync up – I’ve learned over the years to accept disappointment when it comes to Academy voters listening to my opinions. So here we go…

My pick for Best Picture is Manchester by the Sea but it seems like the La La Land train will keep barreling towards victory given its 14 nominations and in spite of the recent backlash. I suspect young Mr. Chazelle is also a lock for best director, but I would love to see Denis Villeneuve win this one for his gorges work on Arrival.

Viggo Mortensen gave a hell of a performance in Captain Fantastic and it’s become more and more praised as time gets closer, but my pick remains the more nuanced Casey Affleck in Manchester.

Adorable Emma Stone is just sort of woman in just the sort of role that wins an Oscar: beautiful, delightful and, this time, starring in an ode to Hollywood. La La Land should bring home another one here.

My love for indie darling Hell of High Water is well-known, so my choice has to be Jeff Bridges and it is possible he may take home the golden statuette, but I have a feeling Mahershala Ali has a very strong chance for his work in Moonlight. Either would be respectable choices.

Moonlight has another strong performance from Naomie Harris so my bet’s on her. Also I don’t think Michelle Williams’ very brief screen time is deserving of the nom. While Viola Davis is clearly not in the right category with Fences, her talent and her gift of outstanding speeches might lock this one up for her.

Kubo and the Two Strings is one of the most beautiful films I have ever seen so it gets my pick. I hope the Academy agrees.

The best documentary I saw this year was 13th and it would be great to see it win but, even if it doesn’t beat out I Am Not Your Negro, that is no loss to a wonderful doc.

I’ll thrown my two cents in for A Man Called Ove to win best foreign language film, Hell or High Water as best screenplay and Arrival for adapted screenplay.

The awards begin at 8:30 tonight on ABC so we shall see… Happy Oscar Day!

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